Nationals vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 7/30/23

New York Mets (49-55) vs Washington Nationals (44-61)

Game Info: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Citi Field)

Justin Verlander (5-5) (3.24) vs Trevor Williams (5-5) (4.47)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -260 / Washington Nationals +220 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Nationals will play the New York Mets in Game 4 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field in New York. Washington was able to get the win on Saturday by a score of 11-6, while the Mets won the first two Games in the series by scores of 2-1 and 5-1. 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 44-61 this season and they have won six of their last nine Games. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three Games against the Rockies and all three of their Games against the Giants. Washington is in last place in the NL East and has one of the worst records in the National League. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.95 ERA, a 1.49 WHIP, and a .274 opponent batting average this season. The Nationals offense has scored 454 runs with a .261 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Lane Thomas is batting .286 with 16 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Trevor Williams, who is 5-5 with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this year. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 49-55 this season and they have won three of their last five Games. The Mets have played very inconsistently this year and it looks like they have decided to become sellers at the deadline, as they traded Scherzer to the Rangers on Saturday night. Prior to this series, the Mets did split a two Game series with the Yankees. The New York pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 461 runs with a .238 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Pete Alonso is batting .217 with 30 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Justin Verlander, who is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 89.0 innings pitched this season.

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Matchup/League Facts

The Washington Nationals ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (739).

The Washington Nationals ranks 6th in the league for hits this season (939).

The New York Mets ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (824).

The New York Mets ranks T10th in the league for home runs this season (132).

Pick

The Mets may have decided to sell at the deadline, but they still have a talented lineup and are heavy favorites coming into this Game. Washington erupted for 11 runs on Saturday, but they were only able to muster two runs in the first two Games. New York is starting Justin Verlander, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Washington is starting Trevor Williams, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his last four starts. Verlander has been very good for the Mets recently and I like him to have another dominant outing here. Take the Mets -1.5 in this matchup. 

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