Twins vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/13/23

Philadelphia Phillies (65-53) vs Minnesota Twins (61-58)

Game Info: Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ranger Suarez (2-5) (3.96) vs Sonny Gray (5-5) (3.18)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -118 / Minnesota Twins -102 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies won the first Game in this series by a score of 13-2 on Friday, but the Twins answered with an 8-1 win on Saturday night. Despite the loss, Philadelphia has played very well over the last two weeks and will look for the series win here. 

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 61-58 this season and they have lost four of their last five Games. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost three out of four Games in Detroit. The Twins only scored a total of seven runs in their previous four Games, so it was great to see the explosiveness come back in Saturday’s win. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average this year. The Twins offense has scored 525 runs with a .237 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .230 with 15 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Sonny Gray, who is 5-5 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 130.1 innings pitched this season.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-53 this season and they have won six of their last eight Games. The Phillies came into this series with plenty of momentum, as they were able to take three out of four Games at home against Washington in their last series. Philadelphia has scored at least six runs in six of their last eight Games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 550 runs with a .257 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Nick Castellanos is batting .282 with 20 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 2-5 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 91.0 innings pitched this year. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Minnesota Twins ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1125).

The Minnesota Twins ranks 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (320).

The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (333).

Pick

Minnesota was able to snap their losing streak with a blow out win on Saturday, but they are only 28-34 on the road this year. The Phillies are 34-23 at home this season and they have been hitting the ball very well in recent series. Philadelphia is starting Ranger Suarez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts, but has allowed 16 hits in those two starts. Minnesota is starting Sonny Gray, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Suarez has allowed quite a few hits in his last two starts, while Gray has been solid for Minnesota all season. I will take the Twins here. 

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